On Monday, Nate Silver looked at the odds of winning a second-round playoff series after going 7 games to win the first round, and found that your chances to win go down: Original SRS odds: Miami 88 percent to win the series. Modified SRS odds: Miami 95 percent to win the series. Miami swept its… Continue reading Hedging Your Bets on the Nets?
Improving Future Statistics
While we can’t know the future, we can make educated guesses and projections about it. RotoValue does this by displaying projected stats (both my own projections, and for baseball, projections contributed from outside sources, Steamer, Marcel, and MORPS), and also by letting you choose prorated stats for the current year or the previous year. When I first… Continue reading Improving Future Statistics
Throwing your Weight Around
Much of the point of RotoValue dollar values is that the parameters of your league are relevant to how you should value players. When you start 2 catchers per team, top catchers are worth more than if you start just 1. Many players that have value in deeper leagues aren’t worth owning in shallower ones. My… Continue reading Throwing your Weight Around
I’ve discovered and corrected a bug in my 2014 major league baseball statistics. Last Monday’s Reds/Pirates game was suspended by rain that night, and then completed on Tuesday, followed by the regularly scheduled game. RotoValue saves the live statistics of games in progress, and later it replaces them with a summary from the official boxscore. Well, in… Continue reading Statistics Correction
One more benefit of FAAB: Easier Trading
In my post this morning forgot to mention another benefit of using FAAB: you can trade it! This encourages trading in multiple ways. First, trading FAAB can help balance out a trade offer. Sometimes you’re close to agreement, but think the current offer favors the other owner a little more. When you can trade FAAB,… Continue reading One more benefit of FAAB: Easier Trading
Free Agent Handling and FAAB
My two long-time baseball leagues, the Park Slope Rotisserie League, and the Ezra Stiles Rotisserie Association, both share the same free agent bidding/handling system, and I like it quite a bit. One of the big questions in fantasy sports leagues is how should you allocate players who are new to the league? Many leagues use… Continue reading Free Agent Handling and FAAB
RotoValue UserProfile and e-mail Settings
I’ve added a new switch to the UserProfile page at RotoValue. In addition to check boxes which let you control what transactions generate an automated e-mail, I’d added a box to control whether you show your e-mail address to other league members on team roster pages. Here’s a view of the UserProfile page: RotoValue can… Continue reading RotoValue UserProfile and e-mail Settings
Minor League Data Now Available on RotoValue!
I’m happy to report that I’m now receiving minor league (and often foreign league) data from the Chadwick Baseball Bureau. Subscribers to RotoValue Analyst now can see minor league, fall, winter, and many foreign league statistics on RotoValue Player Detail pages. So you now don’t need to go to some other site to find minor… Continue reading Minor League Data Now Available on RotoValue!
Another 2014 Projection Update…
I’ve done another forecast run, incorporating new injury information, like the recent UCL tear for David Hernandez, which unfortunately probably will end his season, and drops the Diamondbacks down a notch in my team totals. In addition, I’ve been tweaking how I deal with players with very limited MLB data. Now I will consider current… Continue reading Another 2014 Projection Update…
2014 MLB Projections Update
I’ve updated my 2014 MLB projections, incorporating more recent injury and depth chart information into my playing time estimates. Of course, since the season is two games old for the Dodgers and Diamondbacks, this isn’t entirely “fair” – usually I’d want preseason forecasts to be entirely preseason. But with a full week before other games,… Continue reading 2014 MLB Projections Update