While I mostly do projections to try to value fantasy players, one side effect is that in projecting wins, saves, and holds for pitchers, I also estimate team wins. So here are this year’s standings based on RotoValue projections: AL East Won Lost Pct RS RA Red Sox 87.9 74.1 0.543 650 596 Yankees 85.8… Continue reading 2026 MLB Crystal Ball
Suspended Animation
In major league baseball, a suspended game is a game which is started on one day but continued from the point of suspension on a different day. When a game spans more than one day, when should the statistics for that game count? For most sites, it seems they put the stats for the game… Continue reading Suspended Animation
MLB Predictions 2023
Opening day! The start of the major league season is upon us, and RotoValue has predictions for how it may go. These standings are derived from the individual RotoValue statistical projections for the players in each organization. While there has been plenty of player movement, overall RotoValue thinks the six division winners from 2022 are… Continue reading MLB Predictions 2023
MLB Crystal Ball 2022
Opening day! When hope springs eternal for every major league baseball fan. Each team is tied for first (and last) place for what will almost assuredly be the final time. Which teams will rise, and which will fall? RotoValue has some predictions. Using the model that forecasts player performance, and aggregating across each roster, I… Continue reading MLB Crystal Ball 2022
RotoValue now showing player news from RotoBaller.com
RotoValue is now partnering with RotoBaller.com for player news. Starting this month, we will now be showing RotoBaller player news for both NBA and MLB. This will give better fantasy focused news items for players throughout the site. The main place to see player news on RotoValue is the News pages, which can show news on… Continue reading RotoValue now showing player news from RotoBaller.com
MLB Crystal Ball 2021
Today is opening day, the start of the new season. How will it end up? Using RotoValue player projections for each team, I’ve estimated win totals based on projected runs scored and runs allowed. Here are the standings: AL East Won Lost Pct RS RA Yankees 87.1 74.9 0.538 665 617 Blue Jays 82.1 79.9… Continue reading MLB Crystal Ball 2021
2021 NBA Projections on RotoValue
I’ve released RotoValue 2021 NBA individual projections. RotoValue projections take into account a player’s NBA statistics, age, position, and their depth chart position (if any) to predict statistics totals. The model regresses all players to a per-position league average, so centers will tend to have more blocks, and point guards more assists, than other players.… Continue reading 2021 NBA Projections on RotoValue
Customizing Projections on RotoValue with RotoValue Analyst
Projections are central to fantasy sports, and RotoValue integrates projections into the site. Pages like Search or Projected Standings have a Source selection, where you can choose which set of statistics to display: the current or past seasons, preseason data where available, and of course projections. But with RotoValue Analyst, you not only can see projections like Steamer,… Continue reading Customizing Projections on RotoValue with RotoValue Analyst
Expanded Filtering in Search
RotoValue Search pages used to support filtering by a single pro team or fantasy team, but now that has been extended to support searches filtering on multiple values of these types. Previously you’d need two different windows or browser tabs to see a search matching only players on two different teams, but now these can… Continue reading Expanded Filtering in Search
Reviewing the FiveThirtyEight 2018 Election Forecasts
Nate Silver’s fivethirtyeight.com published forecasts of the 2018 mid-term elections, predicting the outcome of races for House, Senate, and Governor. The site also made it easy to download their projection data, and so I’d like to look at their forecasts and see how their models did. Silver made three variants of his model, dubbed “Lite”, “Classic”,… Continue reading Reviewing the FiveThirtyEight 2018 Election Forecasts