I’ve given up trying to keep track of the daily moves for the Going 9 AL-only league at my site, but I am at least trying to track who is owned/unowned there. And I noticed that when I loaded the LeagueHome page, it would first show the standings, pause for what seemed like about a… Continue reading Less is More
Auction Weekend Recap
This past weekend we had the auctions for my two long-time leagues, the Park Slope Rotisserie League, a traditional 4×4 AL-only league, and the Ezra Stiles Rotisserie Association, a 4×4 NL league. This is the 25th season of the ESRA NL, of which I was a founding member, and the 26th year of the Park… Continue reading Auction Weekend Recap
One more preseason projection update
I’ve run a final preseason update for 2013, taking into account more recent injury reports, and also with another tweak in the playing time allocation model: http://www.rotovalue.com/cgi-bin/Search?league=4&year=2013&source=RotoValue In addition, I’ve uploaded the final preseason Steamer/Razzball projections: http://www.rotovalue.com/cgi-bin/Search?league=4&year=2013&source=Steamer/Razzball Also there’s a new feature: you can download search results as a .csv file by clicking on the… Continue reading One more preseason projection update
Updated RotoValue MLB Projections
I’ve previously described my process for projecting playing time, and I’ve done another update. After reviewing injury reports again, I’ve tweaked the part of the season some players are expected to miss, and then rerun the rest of the numbers, adjusting playing time totals so the season totals are plausible for each team. One big impact… Continue reading Updated RotoValue MLB Projections
Updated MLB Projections: MORPS and Steamer/Razzball
I’ve uploaded the most recent projections for both MORPS and Steamer/Razzball. These presumably incorporate more recent playing time projections. Also, Steamer has tweaked its model for pitchers a bit, adjusting regression means after finding its data were pessimistic compared to some other forecasting systems for 2013. For fantasy purposes, however, the actual forecast statistics themselves don’t really matter directly.… Continue reading Updated MLB Projections: MORPS and Steamer/Razzball
Going 9 AL Recap
So I did a draft for an AL league sponsored by Going 9 Baseball, with 12 teams, so it’s a deep league. We drafted 25 players each, and it took a little over 3 hours to complete online. After doing a mock draft in a shallow mixed league a few weeks earlier, I had hoped to… Continue reading Going 9 AL Recap
Position Eligibility Matters – A Lot!
This season I’m going to be participating in an expert AL-only league organized by Going 9 Baseball, whose draft will be later today. It’s a snake draft, similar to the mock draft I participated in a few weeks ago. But instead of a shallow mixed league, this is a deeper AL-only league. And we’ll be managing these teams during… Continue reading Position Eligibility Matters – A Lot!
Tweaking Projections Again – Aroldis Chapman to Close
The Reds announced today that Aroldis Chapman will remain at closer, rather than join the starting rotation. So I’ve updated the RotoValue projections with his new role, now giving the Reds’ saves to him instead of Jonathan Broxton. So Broxton’s value plummets, while Chapman’s becomes more reliably solid. While he already projected to be a rather valuable starter… Continue reading Tweaking Projections Again – Aroldis Chapman to Close
Updating and Tweaking MLB Projections
I’ve uploaded the latest CAIRO projections, to version 0.5, and also tweaked my own projections with more recent injury information, among them the possibility that Mark Teixeira may be out until June. In addition, I’ve decided to apply my injury adjustment to Marcel data. The injury adjustment reduces projected playing time for players by an arbitrary… Continue reading Updating and Tweaking MLB Projections
Projecting Wins, Saves, and Holds
Wins and saves are perhaps the hardest to predict of traditional Rotisserie categories, because they depend on so much that is outside the player’s control. A mediocre reliever given the chance to close can rack up impressive save totals, but he can just as quickly lose his job and become another anonymous middle man. Obviously… Continue reading Projecting Wins, Saves, and Holds