Last week I looked at some NL players having particularly good or poor seasons relative to expectations. This week it’s time to do a similar scan at American League players. Mark Reynolds has been off to a hot start splitting time between 1B and DH, with a .302 average, 19 runs, 25 RBI, and league-leading 9… Continue reading Early Season AL Surprsises
Category: RotoValue
Hot and Sour Soup – Early Season NL Surprises
What players are having surprising seasons, both good and bad? To answer that question, I compared prices computed from my RotoValue projections with ones computed with 2013 stats through Friday. Here are the biggest positive surprises in a 5×5 NL league: Evan Gattis – With roto star Brian McCann missing the start of the season recovering from shoulder surgery,… Continue reading Hot and Sour Soup – Early Season NL Surprises
Auction Weekend Recap
This past weekend we had the auctions for my two long-time leagues, the Park Slope Rotisserie League, a traditional 4×4 AL-only league, and the Ezra Stiles Rotisserie Association, a 4×4 NL league. This is the 25th season of the ESRA NL, of which I was a founding member, and the 26th year of the Park… Continue reading Auction Weekend Recap
Going 9 AL Recap
So I did a draft for an AL league sponsored by Going 9 Baseball, with 12 teams, so it’s a deep league. We drafted 25 players each, and it took a little over 3 hours to complete online. After doing a mock draft in a shallow mixed league a few weeks earlier, I had hoped to… Continue reading Going 9 AL Recap
Playing Time Projection
A big unknown in fantasy projections is playing time. Indeed projecting playing time well may be as, or even more, important, to fantasy owners than projecting a player’s rate statistics. The playing time in RotoValue projections is the result of a three-stage process. First, a basic projection algorithm uses a player’s age and historical performance… Continue reading Playing Time Projection
Updating Projections
I’ve updated projections at RotoValue, incorporating the most recent releases of two outside systems, Steamer/Razzball and CAIRO. In addition, I’ve updated my own RotoValue projections with playing time adjustments based on known injuries. For RotoValue, I scan injury reports looking for players known to miss time. Based on that report, I make an estimate of… Continue reading Updating Projections
RotoValue Prices – a WAR For Fantasy Sports
So how are RotoValue auction prices computed anyway? One way to think of them is as a sort of WAR for fantasy sports. Tom Tango has done a great job explaining WAR, emphasizing that it is a framework, and thus you can have many different implementations. Ultimately that’s what RotoValue is – an implementation of a model… Continue reading RotoValue Prices – a WAR For Fantasy Sports
An Auction Guy Gets Drafted
I’ve blogged about participating in a fantasy baseball mock draft last weekend, but I have a confession: I’d never before done a straight baseball draft. I’ve been playing fantasy sports for over two decades, and I’ve done fantasy football drafts often. Once we did a fantasy basketball draft when the delayed season start made it impossible… Continue reading An Auction Guy Gets Drafted
Mock Draft Review
So I uploaded the results of the Going9baseball mock draft to my web site as the 5×5 mixed demo league, and from there I can run projected standings. These numbers assume the lineups stay the same all year, and use projected stats to see how we stack up. The image will link to a dynamic… Continue reading Mock Draft Review
Mock Draft Reflections
Today I did a mock draft online, which was quite an experience. First, I’d like to thank Mark Healy of http://www.going9baseball.com/ for inviting me to participate. It was fast and fun – we used http://www.mockdraftcentral.com to hold it, and it was configured to allow at most 60 seconds per pick. Healy hosts a weekly radio show on SiriusXMFantasy, and he… Continue reading Mock Draft Reflections