Projected Playing Time Comparison

My last post effectively compared projection systems by how well they predicted player skill level: I scaled each projection to match 2012 actual ab/ip, but used the rates each system projected to generate stats. Tango asked if I could run the reverse, a comparison where I used prorated actual 2012 stats but kept only the playing… Continue reading Projected Playing Time Comparison

Playing-time Neutral Projection Comparison

In response to Jared Cross’s suggestion, I’ve done one more set of RotoValue comparisons of projection systems. This time, I’m taking players’ actual 2012 AB or IP, and scaling the projections from each system to match that level of playing time. Also, since commenters Rudy Gamble and mcbrown were asking for ZiPS data, I’ve included that… Continue reading Playing-time Neutral Projection Comparison

Revised Projected RotoValue Comparison

Tom Tango highlighted my previous post on comparing computed RotoValue prices from projection systems, and he and others in the comments had some good suggestions for improving the player pool. So I’ve run some more data with slightly different sets of players. First, for each league configuration, I’m simply using the top 230/240 players in the… Continue reading Revised Projected RotoValue Comparison

Comparing Projected 2012 RotoValue Prices

I’ve previously compared five MLB projection systems for batting and pitching rate statistics, comparing the projections for 2012 with actual data. This post will compare 4 systems by looking at the RotoValue prices for a given projection stat set and league setup compared with actual 2012 data for the same setup. The four systems I’m testing will… Continue reading Comparing Projected 2012 RotoValue Prices

RotoValue Pricing Primer

Steve “Dr. A” Alexander bemoans the variety of fantasy basketball leagues, which makes ranking players in general basically impossible: I’m in 11 hoops leagues this year, and every single one is different.  There are Rotisserie, Head-to-head and Points-based leagues.  There are 30-team leagues and there are eight-team leagues.  There are five-category scoring leagues, and there are… Continue reading RotoValue Pricing Primer

2011-2012 NBA Values

With training camps set to open next week, I wanted to do a recap of top players in the 2011-2012 NBA fantasy season. I’m using the RotoValue pricing model, assuming a 10 team league with a roster of 13 players, 10 who start (4 guards, 4 forwards, and 2 centers).  Each team has a $200… Continue reading 2011-2012 NBA Values