So how are RotoValue auction prices computed anyway? One way to think of them is as a sort of WAR for fantasy sports. Tom Tango has done a great job explaining WAR, emphasizing that it is a framework, and thus you can have many different implementations. Ultimately that’s what RotoValue is – an implementation of a model… Continue reading RotoValue Prices – a WAR For Fantasy Sports
Category: Major League Baseball
An Auction Guy Gets Drafted
I’ve blogged about participating in a fantasy baseball mock draft last weekend, but I have a confession: I’d never before done a straight baseball draft. I’ve been playing fantasy sports for over two decades, and I’ve done fantasy football drafts often. Once we did a fantasy basketball draft when the delayed season start made it impossible… Continue reading An Auction Guy Gets Drafted
Mock Draft Review
So I uploaded the results of the Going9baseball mock draft to my web site as the 5×5 mixed demo league, and from there I can run projected standings. These numbers assume the lineups stay the same all year, and use projected stats to see how we stack up. The image will link to a dynamic… Continue reading Mock Draft Review
Mock Draft Reflections
Today I did a mock draft online, which was quite an experience. First, I’d like to thank Mark Healy of http://www.going9baseball.com/ for inviting me to participate. It was fast and fun – we used http://www.mockdraftcentral.com to hold it, and it was configured to allow at most 60 seconds per pick. Healy hosts a weekly radio show on SiriusXMFantasy, and he… Continue reading Mock Draft Reflections
Mock Draft Results
I’ve uploaded the rosters for the mock draft to my web site as the 5×5 demo league. I’ll have a fuller post on the full experience later on, but for now, here’s some projected standings using the consensus of the projections that I have on the site.
Crowdsourcing the Future!
Consensus forecasts, an averaging of forecasts from different sources, have done quite well in studies comparing forecast values with actual ones, so it makes sense to have a consensus of the projection sources RotoValue has for baseball. I’ve done an initial averaging of four sources: CAIRO – from S B of the Replacement Level Yankees Weblog. Marcel – the… Continue reading Crowdsourcing the Future!
Mock Drafting
This Saturday I’ll be participating in a mock draft sponsored by Going 9 Baseball, which has a program on Sirius/XM satellite radio. I’m looking forward to the chance to jump into the season with a mock draft, and indeed they’ll be covering it live on the air (or at least the start of it). I’ve… Continue reading Mock Drafting
RotoValue MLB Commissioner – No Obligation Trial
I’m proud to announce RotoValue is offering a free trial period for its 2013 baseball commissioner product. Just visit the RotoValue Store, enter and confirm your e-mail address, and click at the box at the bottom to create a new league. We’ll send you an e-mail to let you claim your account, and you can… Continue reading RotoValue MLB Commissioner – No Obligation Trial
Projected Playing Time Comparison
My last post effectively compared projection systems by how well they predicted player skill level: I scaled each projection to match 2012 actual ab/ip, but used the rates each system projected to generate stats. Tango asked if I could run the reverse, a comparison where I used prorated actual 2012 stats but kept only the playing… Continue reading Projected Playing Time Comparison
Playing-time Neutral Projection Comparison
In response to Jared Cross’s suggestion, I’ve done one more set of RotoValue comparisons of projection systems. This time, I’m taking players’ actual 2012 AB or IP, and scaling the projections from each system to match that level of playing time. Also, since commenters Rudy Gamble and mcbrown were asking for ZiPS data, I’ve included that… Continue reading Playing-time Neutral Projection Comparison