What players are having surprising seasons, both good and bad? To answer that question, I compared prices computed from my RotoValue projections with ones computed with 2013 stats through Friday. Here are the biggest positive surprises in a 5×5 NL league: Evan Gattis – With roto star Brian McCann missing the start of the season recovering from shoulder surgery,… Continue reading Hot and Sour Soup – Early Season NL Surprises
Category: NL
Projected Playing Time Comparison
My last post effectively compared projection systems by how well they predicted player skill level: I scaled each projection to match 2012 actual ab/ip, but used the rates each system projected to generate stats. Tango asked if I could run the reverse, a comparison where I used prorated actual 2012 stats but kept only the playing… Continue reading Projected Playing Time Comparison
Playing-time Neutral Projection Comparison
In response to Jared Cross’s suggestion, I’ve done one more set of RotoValue comparisons of projection systems. This time, I’m taking players’ actual 2012 AB or IP, and scaling the projections from each system to match that level of playing time. Also, since commenters Rudy Gamble and mcbrown were asking for ZiPS data, I’ve included that… Continue reading Playing-time Neutral Projection Comparison
Revised Projected RotoValue Comparison
Tom Tango highlighted my previous post on comparing computed RotoValue prices from projection systems, and he and others in the comments had some good suggestions for improving the player pool. So I’ve run some more data with slightly different sets of players. First, for each league configuration, I’m simply using the top 230/240 players in the… Continue reading Revised Projected RotoValue Comparison
NL Top 10 RotoValue 2012
Giants’ catcher Buster Posey was a clear winner of the NL MVP voting, but he was not the most valuable player in standard rotisserie formats. In both traditional 4×4 and 5×5 leagues, last year’s NL MVP Ryan Braun was the clear best player. Ironically, Braun won the MVP balloting last year, while being clearly behind Matt… Continue reading NL Top 10 RotoValue 2012
Astros to the AL – Impact on Pricing
So the Houston Astros will be moving to the American League in 2013, giving each league 15 teams. How will this affect pricing in each league? It turns out it won’t make much difference at all. The Astros were, by far, the weakest NL team in terms of RotoValue of their players. Assuming a $260… Continue reading Astros to the AL – Impact on Pricing
2011 RotoValue Top NL Pitchers 5×5
Today I’m discussing the top 30 NL pitchers in a 10-team 5×5 league ranked by RotoValue, using their 2011 stats. I’m assuming a $260 salary cap for 23 active players (including 10 pitchers) and a 4 person reserve bench. Previously I’ve reviewed catchers, outfielders, middle infielders, and corner infielders. Without further ado, the top 30… Continue reading 2011 RotoValue Top NL Pitchers 5×5
2011 RotoValue NL Top Catchers 5×5
Today I’m reviewing the NL’s top 20 catchers in a 5×5 league, assuming 10 teams, 23 active players (2 catchers, 3 middle, 3 corner, 5 OF, 10 pitchers) and a 4 person bench purchased with a $260 salary cap. I’d previously reviewed top outfielders, middle infielders, and corner infielders. The list I’m showing this time… Continue reading 2011 RotoValue NL Top Catchers 5×5
2011 RotoValue NL Top Outfielders 5×5
Continuing the series of top NL performers in 5×5 leagues by position, today I’m showing the top outfielders. Previously I’ve discussed the top middle infielders and the top corner infielders. As before, I’m assuming a 10 team league, $260 salary cap, and an active roster of 23 players (2 catchers, 3 middle infielders, 3 corner… Continue reading 2011 RotoValue NL Top Outfielders 5×5
2011 RotoValue NL Top Middle Infielders 5×5
Sunday I posted a list of the top 20 NL corner infielders for 5×5 leagues. Today it’s the top 20 middle infielders: The top slot goes to Troy Tulowitzki, ahead of batting champ Jose Reyes. Reyes was better in 3 categories, but Tulowitzki had more than twice as many RBI and 4 times as many… Continue reading 2011 RotoValue NL Top Middle Infielders 5×5