2011-2012 NBA Values

With training camps set to open next week, I wanted to do a recap of top players in the 2011-2012 NBA fantasy season. I’m using the RotoValue pricing model, assuming a 10 team league with a roster of 13 players, 10 who start (4 guards, 4 forwards, and 2 centers).  Each team has a $200… Continue reading 2011-2012 NBA Values

Looking to the Future

Having good projections can help you make better decisions for your fantasy team. It may seem the point is trying to spot undervalued (or overvalued) players, and while that certainly is important, that’s not the only thing projections can do to help your team. I’ve recently introduced Projected Standings to RotoValue, a feature that lets… Continue reading Looking to the Future

If You Can't Beat 'em…

… integrate with ’em! Since my efforts to project major league baseball statistics did not do better than some of the freely available systems, I figured I should make their data available in the RotoValue site. So I now have data from multiple projection sources available on the site: CAIRO – from S B of the Replacement Level… Continue reading If You Can't Beat 'em…

NBA Mid-Season Recap

After yesterday’s All Star game, the NBA has reached mid-season. So it’s a good time to see who’s having the best fantasy seasons. I’m computing prices assuming a 10-team league with a starting roster of 3 guards, 3 forwards, and 2 centers, with a 3-person bench. Each team has a $200 salary cap. MVP It’s a… Continue reading NBA Mid-Season Recap

Batting Around Crystal Baseballs

Matt Swartz tested several statistics projections against actual 2011 numbers here. He follows the guidelines Tom Tango outlined in this post, computing weighted on base average (wOBA) for each player and  then comparing the actual wOBA to the projection. From the errors on individual players he computed both mean absolute error and root mean square error.… Continue reading Batting Around Crystal Baseballs

Draft Hangover…

We completed our first ever draft (as opposed to an auction) for the Ezra Stiles Rotisserie Association’s NBA league. After starting piecemeal early in the day, we all got on a conference call at 7:00 PM EST to get things moving. Well, most of us (one owner was heading to an airport and called in… Continue reading Draft Hangover…