I’m happy to report that I’m now receiving minor league (and often foreign league) data from the Chadwick Baseball Bureau. Subscribers to RotoValue Analyst now can see minor league, fall, winter, and many foreign league statistics on RotoValue Player Detail pages. So you now don’t need to go to some other site to find minor… Continue reading Minor League Data Now Available on RotoValue!
Month: March 2014
Another 2014 Projection Update…
I’ve done another forecast run, incorporating new injury information, like the recent UCL tear for David Hernandez, which unfortunately probably will end his season, and drops the Diamondbacks down a notch in my team totals. In addition, I’ve been tweaking how I deal with players with very limited MLB data. Now I will consider current… Continue reading Another 2014 Projection Update…
2014 MLB Projections Update
I’ve updated my 2014 MLB projections, incorporating more recent injury and depth chart information into my playing time estimates. Of course, since the season is two games old for the Dodgers and Diamondbacks, this isn’t entirely “fair” – usually I’d want preseason forecasts to be entirely preseason. But with a full week before other games,… Continue reading 2014 MLB Projections Update
Going 9 Expert Draft
Last night I took part in the Going 9 Experts League draft. We started late (11:00 PM EDT), but the event was fast and fun. We drafted a total of 300 players in under 140 minutes, so it went much faster than my auctions do. The league is a 5×5 12-team mixed league, drafting a… Continue reading Going 9 Expert Draft
Inferring Conditional Probability from the FiveThirtyEight NCAA Model
Nate Silver is live with his new FiveThirtyEight, and it being the start of the tournament, I looked at their model for help in filling out my own bracket. It’s quite a slick presentation, and you can see the probabilities of any team reaching any stage of the tournament. That’s all good! From that page,… Continue reading Inferring Conditional Probability from the FiveThirtyEight NCAA Model
Polishing the Crystal Ball…
I’ve been hacking on my projections model, and now have a first cut for 2014 available. In the process of projecting wins and saves I look at projected runs scored and allowed for each team, so in the table below I just take those projected runs and convert them to wins and losses. My model currently… Continue reading Polishing the Crystal Ball…