Wednesday I introduced a page comparing traditional wins and losses with those assigned by a points system proposed by Tom Tango. Tom agreed with my modification of run values, using -5 in win points and 10 in loss points. Today I’d like to highlight some of the biggest changes in record using this proposal would… Continue reading Who gains and loses if we #RedefineTheWin?
Month: May 2014
#RedefineTheWin
While Brian Kenny turned #KillTheWin into a Twitter meme, Tom Tango has proposed redefining it. Rather than using the old definition, he suggests computing “win points” and “loss points” for each game, and then giving the player with the most win points on the winning team a win, while the player with the most loss points on the losing… Continue reading #RedefineTheWin
When the hurling Buehrle's won… or perhaps why!
Blue Jays’ starter Mark Buehrle is off to a great start so far this season, leading the majors with 6 wins, with an ERA of 1.91. While not as impressive as his ERA, Buehrle’s FIP, fielding-independent pitching, is a still-excellent 3.04, which would be a career best by nearly half a run, and is more… Continue reading When the hurling Buehrle's won… or perhaps why!
Introducing RV Current
Today I’m introducing a new projections source, which I’m calling RV Current. The idea is to use the same basic projection model I use in the preseason, but also include current year data in the model. The goal is a current “true talent” estimate for each player. So in addition to taking up to 3 years… Continue reading Introducing RV Current
Hedging Your Bets on the Nets?
On Monday, Nate Silver looked at the odds of winning a second-round playoff series after going 7 games to win the first round, and found that your chances to win go down: Original SRS odds: Miami 88 percent to win the series. Modified SRS odds: Miami 95 percent to win the series. Miami swept its… Continue reading Hedging Your Bets on the Nets?