{"id":736,"date":"2013-04-02T19:07:40","date_gmt":"2013-04-02T23:07:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/?p=736"},"modified":"2013-04-02T19:07:40","modified_gmt":"2013-04-02T23:07:40","slug":"auction-weekend-recap","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/02\/auction-weekend-recap\/","title":{"rendered":"Auction Weekend Recap"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This past weekend we had the auctions for my two long-time leagues, the <a href=\"http:\/\/fillmore.homelinux.net\/park_slope\/home.html\">Park Slope Rotisserie League<\/a>, a traditional 4&#215;4 AL-only league, and the <a href=\"http:\/\/fillmore.homelinux.net\/esra-nl\/home.html\">Ezra Stiles Rotisserie Association<\/a>, a 4&#215;4 NL league. This is the 25th season of the ESRA NL, of which I was a founding member, and the 26th year of the Park Slope league, which I joined in 1999.<br \/>\nUsing projections, I can take drafted rosters and predict how the leagues will finish.<br \/>\n<!--more-->Here&#8217;s a look at projected standings as of April 2nd using my RotoValue projections:<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.rotovalue.com\/cgi-bin\/Standings?year=2013&amp;league=1&amp;projected=1&amp;source=RotoValue\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-739\" alt=\"ALprojRV\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/ALprojRV-1.png\" width=\"621\" height=\"534\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/ALprojRV-1.png 621w, https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/ALprojRV-1-300x258.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 621px) 100vw, 621px\" \/><\/a>The projected standings page mixes actual past stats with some form of future projection, either prorating actual stats from some past timeframe, or using one of the projection models. So clicking on the page in the future will show different numbers, as more actual data, and less projected data, is used. This league is bunched into three tiers in these projections, with just 5 points separating the bottom 4, 4 points separating the top 3, and 3 points separating places 4-6.<br \/>\nUsing Tim Obershlake&#8217;s MORPS, the league is even tighter:<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.rotovalue.com\/cgi-bin\/Standings?year=2013&amp;league=1&amp;projected=1&amp;source=MORPS\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-741\" alt=\"ALprojMORPS\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/ALprojMORPS-1.png\" width=\"620\" height=\"534\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/ALprojMORPS-1.png 620w, https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/ALprojMORPS-1-300x258.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 620px) 100vw, 620px\" \/><\/a>Now it&#8217;s a tie at the top, with 5 teams within 2 points of the lead, and just 11 points separating the best and worst teams. It will be interesting to revisit these projections after the year, to compare them with the actual standings!<br \/>\nThe initial rosters, and auction prices, of the Park Slope league are <a href=\"http:\/\/www.rotovalue.com\/cgi-bin\/Rosters?year=2013&amp;league=1\">here<\/a>. The league has a $30 salary cap for 280 players. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.rotovalue.com\/cgi-bin\/PlayerDetail?player=1710&amp;league=1&amp;year=2013\">Mike Trout<\/a>\u00a0($4.60), <a href=\"http:\/\/www.rotovalue.com\/cgi-bin\/PlayerDetail?player=1210&amp;league=1&amp;year=2013\">Miguel Cabrera<\/a>\u00a0($4.20), and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.rotovalue.com\/cgi-bin\/PlayerDetail?player=1186&amp;league=1&amp;year=2013\">Justin Verlander<\/a>\u00a0($4.10)\u00a0were the three most expensive players, and somewhat unusually for me, I didn&#8217;t win any of them.<br \/>\nOf course, now the games count for real. It&#8217;s still interesting to look at projections, to get an idea of potential category strengths and weaknesses. But a lot can, and will, change during the long season. Play ball!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This past weekend we had the auctions for my two long-time leagues, the Park Slope Rotisserie League, a traditional 4&#215;4 AL-only league, and the Ezra Stiles Rotisserie Association, a 4&#215;4 NL league. This is the 25th season of the ESRA NL, of which I was a founding member, and the 26th year of the Park&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/02\/auction-weekend-recap\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Auction Weekend Recap<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[16,2,11,13],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/736"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=736"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/736\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=736"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=736"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=736"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}