{"id":716,"date":"2013-03-28T07:00:46","date_gmt":"2013-03-28T11:00:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/?p=716"},"modified":"2013-03-28T07:00:46","modified_gmt":"2013-03-28T11:00:46","slug":"updated-mlb-projections-morps-and-steamerrazzball","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/28\/updated-mlb-projections-morps-and-steamerrazzball\/","title":{"rendered":"Updated MLB Projections: MORPS and Steamer\/Razzball"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve uploaded the most recent projections for both\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/morps.mlblogs.com\/\">MORPS<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/steamerprojections.com\/blog\/downloads\/\">Steamer\/Razzball<\/a>. These presumably incorporate more recent playing time projections. Also, Steamer has tweaked its model for pitchers a bit, <a href=\"http:\/\/steamerprojections.com\/blog\/adjusting-regression-means\/\">adjusting regression means<\/a>\u00a0after finding its data were pessimistic compared to some other forecasting systems for 2013.<br \/>\nFor fantasy purposes, however, the actual forecast statistics themselves don&#8217;t really matter directly. If you forecast a league ERA of 5.00 instead of 4.00, you can still be the best source for pitching projections if you&#8217;re best at ranking pitchers relative to each other. Ultimately the RotoValue pricing model normalizes all statistics &#8211; what matters isn&#8217;t a raw number in HR, or projected WHIP, but how your projected stats compare to others in the league.<br \/>\nI&#8217;ll be reviewing injury reports and doing another run update of my own projections, and I&#8217;ll also tweak the\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.tangotiger.net\/marcel\/\">Marcel<\/a>\u00a0projections based on that injury adjustment.<br \/>\nTo see the various projection system stats, and prices based on them for some sample league configurations, look at some of my sample leagues:<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.rotovalue.com\/cgi-bin\/Search?league=4&amp;year=2013&amp;source=RotoValue\">5&#215;5 Mixed League &#8211; $260 cap<\/a>\u00a0&#8211; using RotoValue projections<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.rotovalue.com\/cgi-bin\/Search?league=23&amp;year=2013&amp;source=CAIRO\">4&#215;4 AL League &#8211; $260 Cap<\/a>\u00a0&#8211; using CAIRO projections<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.rotovalue.com\/cgi-bin\/Search?league=17&amp;year=2013&amp;source=Steamer\/Razzball\">5&#215;5 AL League &#8211; $260 Cap<\/a>\u00a0&#8211; using Steamer\/Razzball projections<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.rotovalue.com\/cgi-bin\/Search?league=24&amp;year=2013&amp;source=MORPS\">4&#215;4 NL League &#8211; $260 Cap<\/a>\u00a0&#8211; using MORPS projections<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.rotovalue.com\/cgi-bin\/Search?league=25&amp;year=2013&amp;source=Marcel\">5&#215;5 NL League &#8211; $260 Cap<\/a>\u00a0&#8211; using Marcel projections<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Obviously you can change data source for each league to any of the projection systems available, or to use actual past year stats. Or if you&#8217;ve purchased <a href=\"http:\/\/www.rotovalue.com\/cgi-bin\/Store\">RotoValue Analyst<\/a> (a bargain at $10, IMO), you can also choose preseason stats, and get customized prices for your league&#8217;s configuration.<br \/>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve uploaded the most recent projections for both\u00a0MORPS\u00a0and\u00a0Steamer\/Razzball. These presumably incorporate more recent playing time projections. Also, Steamer has tweaked its model for pitchers a bit, adjusting regression means\u00a0after finding its data were pessimistic compared to some other forecasting systems for 2013. For fantasy purposes, however, the actual forecast statistics themselves don&#8217;t really matter directly.&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/28\/updated-mlb-projections-morps-and-steamerrazzball\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Updated MLB Projections: MORPS and Steamer\/Razzball<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6,11],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/716"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=716"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/716\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=716"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=716"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.rotovalue.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=716"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}