Category Archives: Projections

2013 Projection Systems Review: RA9 and WHIP

Thursday I compared five projection systems with their projections for weighted on base average. Today I’m looking at two different pitching categories, runs allowed per 9 innings (RA9) and WHIP, walks plus hits per innings pitched. Tom Tango kindly highlighted … Continue reading

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2013 Projection Systems Review: wOBA

In each of the past two years, I’ve compared different baseball projections systems by looking at aggregate errors. In 2013, I had access to these projection systems: CAIRO – from S B of the Replacement Level Yankees Weblog. Marcel – the basic projection … Continue reading

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Initial 2014 NBA Projections – Lillard Stands Out

I’ve completed the first cut NBA projections for 2013-2014, and was surprised to see second-year Blazers point guard Damian Lillard rank 4th in overall RotoValue for both an 8 category and 9 category format. Last year’s rookie of the year was a good … Continue reading

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Busts at the Break

This week I selected AL and NL fantasy all-star teams – players who exceeded preseason expectations by the largest amount. Not always the best players (although Chris Davis was close), they’re guys whose performance has been worth much more than you’d have expected … Continue reading

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2013 NL Fantasy All Star Team

Yesterday I honored the mid-season AL Fantasy All Star Team. Now it’s time to do the same for the NL. I’m picking the team by finding the biggest positive difference in RotoValue prices computed from current stats at the break … Continue reading

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2013 AL Fantasy All Star Team

With the MLB All Star game tonight, it’s a good time to see who the Fantasy all-stars are. One simple thing is to use RotoValue to see who’s having the best seasons so far. My site has demo lists for … Continue reading

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Early Season AL Surprsises

Last week I looked at some NL players having particularly good or poor seasons relative to expectations. This week it’s time to do a similar scan at American League players. Mark Reynolds has been off to a hot start splitting time … Continue reading

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Auction Weekend Recap

This past weekend we had the auctions for my two long-time leagues, the Park Slope Rotisserie League, a traditional 4×4 AL-only league, and the Ezra Stiles Rotisserie Association, a 4×4 NL league. This is the 25th season of the ESRA … Continue reading

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One more preseason projection update

I’ve run a final preseason update for 2013, taking into account more recent injury reports, and also with another tweak in the playing time allocation model: http://www.rotovalue.com/cgi-bin/Search?league=4&year=2013&source=RotoValue In addition, I’ve uploaded the final preseason Steamer/Razzball projections: http://www.rotovalue.com/cgi-bin/Search?league=4&year=2013&source=Steamer/Razzball Also there’s a … Continue reading

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Updated RotoValue MLB Projections

I’ve previously described my process for projecting playing time, and I’ve done another update. After reviewing injury reports again, I’ve tweaked the part of the season some players are expected to miss, and then rerun the rest of the numbers, adjusting … Continue reading

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