Category Archives: NBA Basketball

RV Current for NBA

Posted on 24 November, 2014 by Geoff

Similar to what I’ve done with baseball, I’m now running new projections daily for NBA players under the name RV Current. These projections add current year data into the model, increasing the weight given to the current season as more … Continue reading →

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Tracking Injuries…

Posted on 28 October, 2014 by Geoff

I’ve just rolled out some enhancements to RotoValue’s handling of injury reports. Now in addition to displaying reports, and highlighting the injury on player searches, I’ve added a new field, called Target Return:

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2015 NBA Projections Take 1

Posted on 14 October, 2014 by Geoff

I’ve run the first version of my 2015 NBA Stat projections. There are two versions, RotoValue and AdjRotoValue. My model starts with a weighted average of recent performance, adds regression to a per-position mean, and applies an aging adjustment (very … Continue reading →

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RotoValue Now Uses RotoWire Player News

Posted on 3 August, 2014 by Geoff

The player news and analysis notes shown on RotoValue now come from RotoWire instead of RotoWorld. My feed provider for news, XML Team Solutions, contacted me Friday to let me know they had lost the ability to send RotoWorld data, … Continue reading →

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Hedging Your Bets on the Nets?

Posted on 7 May, 2014 by Geoff

On Monday, Nate Silver looked at the odds of winning a second-round playoff series after going 7 games to win the first round, and found that your chances to win go down:  Original SRS odds: Miami 88 percent to win … Continue reading →

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Initial 2014 NBA Projections – Lillard Stands Out

Posted on 15 October, 2013 by Geoff

I’ve completed the first cut NBA projections for 2013-2014, and was surprised to see second-year Blazers point guard Damian Lillard rank 4th in overall RotoValue for both an 8 category and 9 category format. Last year’s rookie of the year was a good … Continue reading →

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Fantasy Basketball Mid-Season Awards

Posted on 19 February, 2013 by Geoff

Fantasy MVP: Kevin Durant This one is clear. In both my long-time NBA league and the 8 and 9 category format, Durant holds a small, but clear, edge over LeBron James. James may have a ring, but Durant helps a … Continue reading →

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More “Make-it, take-it” Data

Posted on 10 January, 2013 by Geoff

At the suggestion of Tom Tango, I ran my basketball simulator with many different inputs to see what impact different scoring levels and game lengths might have on the change to a “make-it, take-it” rule for basketball replacing alternating possessions … Continue reading →

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“Make it, take it” Simulations

Posted on 7 January, 2013 by Geoff

In a discussion on Tom Tango’s blog, Phil Birnbaum was speculating about whether switching basketball to “make it, take it” might change the balance of the game, and he thought it might help the underdog win more often. After reading … Continue reading →

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Projected Standings

Posted on 26 October, 2012 by Geoff

One fun feature of RotoValue is Projected Standings. While we don’t know what the future will hold, we can guess about it, and the page lets you do exactly that. My long-time NBA league had its draft last weekend, and … Continue reading →

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